Will some cities ever be uninhabitable?

Submitted by zarodinu on April 6, 2026
This was primarily inspired by Phoenix. Hot, dry, no outdoors life June through September and people predict in 30 years it will be unsustainable.
31 Comments
+3
Level 72
Apr 6, 2026
Las Vegas or something. Sea levels will definitely play a major role as well so like island cities in Oceania Nicosia but also coastal cities everywhere like Amsterdam, Charleston, etc.
+4
Level ∞
Apr 6, 2026
Sea levels are projected to rise by less than 1 meter by 2100.

Cities like Amsterdam and Charleston will be fine in the short run.

+1
Level 61
Apr 6, 2026
New Orleans is still in danger tho...
+5
Level ∞
Apr 6, 2026
No. Humanity's ability to adapt to hot climates is changing much faster than the climate.

Due to improved technology (mostly AC), the area of the world which in inhabitable continues to grow.

Phoenix is a much better place to live today than it was 100 years ago even though it's slightly hotter now.

But Phoenix is not even close to the worst place in terms of heat. That would be areas in India and the Middle East where the wet bulb temperature stays at a dangerous level for much longer periods of time.

If people can survive there, often with inadequate AC, then they can definitely survive in Phoenix.

+3
Level ∞
Apr 6, 2026
Not to say that heat isn't dangerous - it is. I've heard the stat that something like 40,000 people a year (mostly old people) die due to extreme heat in Europe because of lack of adequate air conditioning.

I imagine the number in India or Africa is much, much higher.

But this danger will tend to decrease over time as AC penetration increases. (Except in Europe maybe if they ban it).

+4
Level 82
Apr 6, 2026
Why would europe ban air conditioning?😅
+2
Level ∞
Apr 6, 2026
Yeah, they clearly won't ban it. Bad language choice on my part.

Regulation will continue to make it impractical, leading to lower usage and 10,000s of additional deaths per year.

+1
Level 47
Apr 7, 2026
I heard I think from interview with Steve Wozniak, some Northern African countries on the shore like Morocco gonna have a better weather due to climate change, while Southern Europe gonna cook due to heat.
+4
Level ∞
Apr 6, 2026
What I'd be most concerned about is extreme heat in a place like northern India coupled with a serious power outage and something which interferes with the supply of water.

If all that happens at the same time, you could see something that kills hundreds of thousands of people.

But no matter what happens, deaths due to heat will remain a tiny fraction of the overall death total.

+1
Level 55
Apr 6, 2026
You mean central India?
+1
Level 78
Apr 7, 2026
Point! India’s also facing massive water shortages that will get worse because of less snowmelt in the Himalayas (because of global warming) because of which many of the rivers don’t have enough water.

This is combined with depleted underground water tables, and then the El Niño phenomenon this year will be causing less rainfall during the Monsoons. Which the country still depends on. And then there’s extensive air and water pollution, plus mismanagement of resources in many areas.

India already has a billion people ( out of almost 1 1/2 billion) who would be classified as poor by global (average) standards. That makes it way worse.

+1
Level 63
Apr 7, 2026
except: https://ourworldindata.org/four-minutes-of-air-conditioning
+2
Level ∞
Apr 8, 2026
Great supporting evidence for my thesis!

Electricity generation will increase quickly allowing more people in Juba to run air conditioning.

Importantly, this increase will happen faster than the change in climate.

+1
Level 78
Apr 8, 2026
“ Because the heat impacts people’s productivity, it traps people in poverty.“

And these people are way too poor to afford hand held fans, leave alone air coolers or aircons.

+5
Level 72
Apr 6, 2026
Malé?
+7
Level 72
Apr 6, 2026
Guys I think Quizmaster is pretty passionate about the sun.
+2
Level 61
Apr 6, 2026
Did give us life after all
+1
Level 75
Apr 6, 2026
It also eventually lead to World War II
+1
Level 68
Apr 6, 2026
Praise!

The!

Sun!

+2
Level 71
Apr 7, 2026
Praise God for creating the Sun?

Praise the Son for dying on the cross?

+1
Level 68
Apr 7, 2026
i just wanted to make a reference :sob:
+1
Level 63
Apr 7, 2026
(no correlation gif here)
+1
Level 82
Apr 6, 2026
I could see some towns (or even cities) in the Sahel area or similar places that heavily depend on agriculture be abandoned as desertification advances due to climate change, but larger cities like Phoenix or Riyadh are here to stay I think.
+1
Level 78
Apr 7, 2026
They’re apparently planting a big green strip of trees along the outskirts of the Sahara to stop the desert from advancing. So, combined with other steps that they can take, there’s hope!
+3
Level 47
Apr 7, 2026
I think Amsterdam gonna be fine despite a lot of doom scenarios.

I'm concerned about Jakarta which is sinking and faces a lot of issues due to rising seas.

Also water scarcity is already changing a lot of plans. I think Tehran is another city that got a bleak future, not only due to war but due to groundwater depletion and heat.

+1
Level 78
Apr 7, 2026
True. Iran seems to be having major water challenges, which must only be getting exacerbated by their current situation.
+1
Level 77
Apr 7, 2026
Literally anywhere on the surface of the Earth is inhabitable to humans at least through technology, it's just a question of whether it's efficient to make it habitable and if it's even worth it
+2
Level 65
Apr 7, 2026
I feel like Jakarta would be one. The city's so crowded already, poverty is widespread, half the houses I see are metal sheets in shantytowns and it's so polluted that three of my relatives I know have gotten pneumonia just from living there. I don't know, just doesn't seem the most prosperous

Also as azerifactory said, Jakarta's sinking fast. Water quality is also awful. Might be cooked.

+1
Level 78
Apr 9, 2026
Well, at least they’re planning to move the capital to another place, because Jakarta is sinking.
+1
Level 61
Apr 7, 2026
Nicosia, Cyprus. I feel it would be hard to live in a city that doesn't exist.
+1
Level 62
Apr 8, 2026
Great question. It's scary that flooding has doubled worldwide in just the last 20 years. When their coastal cities are starting to get hit, you'd hope the powers-that-be would do something about it, but with the mob who are in charge at the moment, it doesn't make me very optimistic.