| Difference | EV | State | % Correct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1% R | 19 | Pennsylvania | 92%
|
| 1.4% R | 15 | Michigan | 88%
|
| 2.2% R | 16 | Georgia | 85%
|
| 5.5% R | 11 | Arizona | 83%
|
| 3.1% R | 6 | Nevada | 79%
|
| 3.4% R | 16 | North Carolina | 79%
|
| 0.8% R | 10 | Wisconsin | 79%
|
| 5.7% D | 13 | Virginia | 71%
|
| 4.2% D | 10 | Minnesota | 64%
|
| 2.8% D | 4 | New Hampshire | 49%
|