| Margin | State | % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| R+46.3 | Wyoming . 4 | 79%
|
| R+42.15 | West Virginia . 9 | 64%
|
| R+31.77 | Idaho . 23 | 43%
|
| R+35.73 | North Dakota . 19 | 43%
|
| R+29.84 | Kentucky . 31 | 39%
|
| R+36.39 | Oklahoma . 16 | 39%
|
| R+29.79 | South Dakota . 34 | 36%
|
| R+9 | Texas . 170 | 32%
|
| R+27.73 | Alabama . 43 | 29%
|
| R+1.2 | Florida . 260 | 29%
|
| R+0.72 | Pennsylvania . 290 | 29%
|
| R+0.76 | Wisconsin . 270 | 29%
|
| R+0.22 | Michigan . 306 | 25%
|
| R+3.55 | Arizona . 230 | 21%
|
| R+26.92 | Arkansas . 49 | 21%
|
| D+0.37 | New Hampshire . 310 | 21%
|
| R+5.09 | Georgia . 204 | 18%
|
| R+19.17 | Indiana . 91 | 18%
|
| R+25.05 | Nebraska . 62 | 18%
|
| D+2.42 | Nevada . 326 | 18%
|
| R+3.66 | North Carolina . 219 | 18%
|
| R+8.13 | Ohio . 188 | 18%
|
| D+30.11 | California . 531 | 14%
|
| R+20.6 | Kansas . 69 | 14%
|
| R+19.64 | Louisiana . 80 | 14%
|
| D+2.87 | Maine . 328 | 14%
|
| D+1.52 | Minnesota . 320 | 14%
|
| R+18.64 | Missouri . 101 | 14%
|
| R+20.53 | Montana . 72 | 14%
|
| R+26.01 | Tennessee . 60 | 14%
|
| D+4.91 | Colorado . 337 | 11%
|
| R+17.83 | Mississippi . 113 | 11%
|
| D+8.21 | New Mexico . 355 | 11%
|
| D+22.65 | New York . 452 | 11%
|
| D+10.98 | Oregon . 362 | 11%
|
| D+5.32 | Virginia . 350 | 11%
|
| D+32.18 | Hawai'i . 535 | 7%
|
| D+17.06 | Illinois . 423 | 7%
|
| R+9.41 | Iowa . 132 | 7%
|
| D+26.41 | Maryland . 465 | 7%
|
| D+14.1 | New Jersey . 386 | 7%
|
| R+18.08 | Utah . 107 | 7%
|
| D+25.96 | Vermont . 455 | 7%
|
| R+14.73 | Alaska . 116 | 4%
|
| D+13.64 | Connecticut . 372 | 4%
|
| D+11.43 | Delaware . 365 | 4%
|
| D+27.2 | Massachusetts . 476 | 4%
|
| D+15.51 | Rhode Island . 391 | 4%
|
| R+14.27 | South Carolina . 125 | 4%
|
| D+15.71 | Washington . 403 | 4%
|