| Margin | State | % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| D+25.06 | Massachusetts . 15 | 91%
|
| D+20.75 | Rhode Island . 19 | 78%
|
| D+20.14 | Vermont . 22 | 72%
|
| D+18.29 | New York . 53 | 66%
|
| D+12.99 | Maryland . 63 | 56%
|
| D+10.34 | Illinois . 92 | 47%
|
| D+10.37 | Connecticut . 71 | 38%
|
| D+9.95 | California . 147 | 34%
|
| D+9 | Maine . 149 | 19%
|
| D+7.18 | Washington . 167 | 19%
|
| R+5.01 | Florida . 325 | 16%
|
| D+8.74 | Hawaii . 153 | 16%
|
| D+6.68 | New Jersey . 182 | 16%
|
| R+2.11 | Ohio . 284 | 16%
|
| D+2.5 | Pennsylvania . 238 | 16%
|
| D+3.42 | Michigan . 217 | 13%
|
| D+0.38 | Wisconsin . 252 | 13%
|
| D+7.59 | Delaware . 156 | 9%
|
| D+3.48 | Minnesota . 200 | 9%
|
| R+2.59 | Nevada . 289 | 9%
|
| R+0.79 | New Mexico . 264 | 9%
|
| R+8.21 | Virginia . 349 | 9%
|
| R+9.76 | Arkansas . 355 | 6%
|
| R+4.67 | Colorado . 298 | 6%
|
| R+16.6 | Georgia . 420 | 6%
|
| R+38.13 | Idaho . 529 | 6%
|
| R+0.67 | Iowa . 259 | 6%
|
| R+7.2 | Missouri . 336 | 6%
|
| D+1.37 | New Hampshire . 242 | 6%
|
| D+4.16 | Oregon . 190 | 6%
|
| R+22.86 | Texas . 494 | 6%
|
| R+45.54 | Utah . 537 | 6%
|
| R+39.72 | Wyoming . 532 | 6%
|
| R+33.22 | Nebraska . 525 | 3%
|
| R+12.43 | North Carolina . 380 | 3%
|
| R+31.14 | Oklahoma . 523 | 3%
|
| R+25.62 | Alabama . 512 | 0%
|
| R+25.55 | Alaska . 503 | 0%
|
| R+10.47 | Arizona . 365 | 0%
|
| R+20.68 | Indiana . 456 | 0%
|
| R+25.38 | Kansas . 500 | 0%
|
| R+19.86 | Kentucky . 442 | 0%
|
| R+14.51 | Louisiana . 405 | 0%
|
| R+18.85 | Mississippi . 434 | 0%
|
| R+20.5 | Montana . 445 | 0%
|
| R+27.36 | North Dakota . 516 | 0%
|
| R+17.08 | South Carolina . 428 | 0%
|
| R+21.47 | South Dakota . 459 | 0%
|
| R+14.27 | Tennessee . 396 | 0%
|
| R+12.87 | West Virginia . 385 | 0%
|