| Average Point Margin | State | % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| Trump +7.30 | Texas | 100%
|
| Trump +2.25 | Florida | 96%
|
| Trump +25.56 | Alabama | 91%
|
| Trump +27.26 | Arkansas | 91%
|
| Trump +17.51 | Kansas | 91%
|
| Trump +8.12 | Ohio | 91%
|
| Trump +19.29 | Utah | 91%
|
| Trump +17.51 | Indiana | 89%
|
| Trump +19.12 | Louisiana | 89%
|
| Trump +22.03 | Nebraska | 89%
|
| Trump +34.51 | North Dakota | 89%
|
| Trump +28 | South Dakota | 89%
|
| Trump +24.65 | Tennessee | 89%
|
| Trump +8.81 | Iowa | 87%
|
| Trump +17.15 | Mississippi | 87%
|
| Trump +17.41 | Montana | 87%
|
| Trump +2.48 | North Carolina | 87%
|
| Trump +34.75 | Oklahoma | 87%
|
| Trump +44.54 | Wyoming | 87%
|
| Trump +12.37 | Alaska | 84%
|
| Trump +27.92 | Kentucky | 84%
|
| Trump +13 | South Carolina | 84%
|
| Trump +40.49 | West Virginia | 84%
|
| Trump +31.24 | Idaho | 82%
|
| Trump +16.94 | Missouri | 80%
|