| 2020 margin | 2024 margin | County | State | % Correct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D+7.33 | R+11.41 | Miami-Dade County | Florida | 92%
|
| D+7.94 | R+1.26 | Riverside County | California | 89%
|
| D+4.37 | R+0.07 | Bucks County | Pennsylvania | 87%
|
| D+1.03 | R+1.02 | Erie County | Pennsylvania | 84%
|
| D+16.53 | R+2.86 | Passaic County | New Jersey | 82%
|
| D+0.22 | R+5.21 | Pinellas County | Florida | 82%
|
| D+10.66 | R+2.14 | San Bernardino County | California | 82%
|
| D+6.86 | R+3.05 | Hillsborough County | Florida | 79%
|
| D+24.37 | R+0.85 | Imperial County | California | 79%
|
| D+6.28 | R+1.37 | Lake County | California | 76%
|
| D+2.17 | R+3.47 | Maricopa County | Arizona | 76%
|
| D+0.22 | R+5.12 | Tarrant County | Texas | 76%
|
| D+0.79 | R+1.91 | Washington County | Georgia | 76%
|
| D+5 | R+15.98 | Starr County | Texas | 74%
|
| D+6.69 | R+3.03 | Atlantic County | New Jersey | 71%
|
| D+13.78 | R+1.45 | Osceola County | Florida | 71%
|
| D+1.41 | R+2.44 | Williamson County | Texas | 71%
|
| D+3.81 | R+1.46 | Duval County | Florida | 68%
|
| D+2.61 | R+9.77 | Duval County | Texas | 68%
|
| D+17.06 | R+2.87 | Hidalgo County | Texas | 68%
|
| D+9.52 | R+4.1 | Nassau County | New York | 68%
|
| D+7.83 | R+4.39 | Fresno County | California | 66%
|
| D+0.15 | R+2.99 | Inyo County | California | 66%
|
| D+4.24 | R+2.71 | Morris County | New Jersey | 66%
|
| D+2.11 | R+2.43 | Rockingham County | New Hampshire | 66%
|
| D+1.74 | R+11.6 | Rockland County | New York | 66%
|
| D+13.82 | R+0.88 | San Joaquin County | California | 66%
|
| D+13.15 | R+5.79 | Cameron County | Texas | 63%
|
| D+6.05 | R+3.75 | Cumberland County | New Jersey | 63%
|
| D+6.35 | R+0.78 | Monroe County | Pennsylvania | 63%
|
| D+0.72 | R+1.78 | Northampton County | Pennsylvania | 63%
|
| D+2.76 | R+3.12 | Albany County | Wyoming | 61%
|
| D+10.54 | R+4.35 | Merced County | California | 61%
|
| D+0.29 | R+3.27 | Saginaw County | Michigan | 61%
|
| D+0.51 | R+0.03 | Talbot County | Maryland | 61%
|
| D+23.25 | R+2.17 | Webb County | Texas | 61%
|
| D+1.94 | R+2.79 | Gloucester County | New Jersey | 58%
|
| D+1.72 | R+5.13 | Pueblo County | Colorado | 58%
|
| D+1.7 | R+1.67 | Sauk County | Wisconsin | 58%
|
| D+3.51 | R+3.88 | Scott County | Iowa | 58%
|
| D+0.78 | R+10.9 | Stanislaus County | California | 58%
|
| D+1.5 | R+1.74 | Carroll County | New Hampshire | 55%
|
| D+6.82 | R+1.21 | Jefferson County | Georgia | 55%
|
| D+2.78 | R+3.53 | Seminole County | Florida | 55%
|
| D+9.45 | R+18.49 | Maverick County | Texas | 53%
|
| D+3.61 | R+0.66 | Sullivan County | New Hampshire | 53%
|
| D+1.51 | R+2.54 | Carlton County | Minnesota | 50%
|
| D+1.24 | R+2.78 | Kent County | Maryland | 50%
|
| D+0.55 | R+1.79 | Muskegon County | Michigan | 50%
|
| D+3.85 | R+5.9 | Blaine County | Montana | 47%
|
| D+3.71 | R+7.97 | Latah County | Idaho | 47%
|
| D+4.19 | R+2.5 | Anson County | North Carolina | 45%
|
| D+1.13 | R+1.99 | Marion County | Oregon | 45%
|
| D+4.5 | R+1.54 | Orleans County | Vermont | 45%
|
| D+0.6 | R+0.15 | Tippecanoe County | Indiana | 45%
|
| D+0.37 | R+3.96 | Warren County | Mississippi | 45%
|
| D+4.43 | R+1.22 | Blue Earth County | Minnesota | 42%
|
| D+0.45 | R+5.02 | Jasper County | Mississippi | 42%
|
| D+0.75 | R+9.64 | Jasper County | South Carolina | 42%
|
| D+0.25 | R+2.75 | Kennebec County | Maine | 42%
|
| D+12.02 | R+3.29 | Willacy County | Texas | 42%
|
| D+5.94 | R+1.7 | Big Horn County | Montana | 39%
|
| D+1.94 | R+3.13 | Butte County | California | 39%
|
| D+5.22 | R+2.15 | Clinton County | New York | 39%
|
| D+2.61 | R+7.86 | Lynchburg | Virginia | 39%
|
| D+0.31 | R+4.86 | Pasquotank County | North Carolina | 39%
|
| D+6.52 | R+3.69 | Socorro County | New Mexico | 39%
|
| D+6.36 | R+2.42 | Yazoo County | Mississippi | 39%
|
| D+1.33 | R+3.76 | Marengo County | Alabama | 37%
|
| D+0.23 | R+1.76 | Nash County | North Carolina | 37%
|
| D+8.32 | R+0.65 | Surry County | Virginia | 37%
|
| D+2.66 | R+16.9 | Culberson County | Texas | 34%
|
| D+2.28 | R+4.77 | Desha County | Arkansas | 34%
|
| D+3.16 | R+0.51 | Nicollet County | Minnesota | 34%
|
| D+5.17 | R+4.27 | Tensas Parish | Louisiana | 34%
|
| D+0.39 | R+4.89 | Winona County | Minnesota | 34%
|
| D+8.5 | R+2.82 | Ziebach County | South Dakota | 34%
|
| D+6.95 | R+1.45 | Issaquena County | Mississippi | 32%
|
| D+15.54 | R+TBA | Northwest Arctic Borough | Alaska | 32%
|
| D+0.96 | R+3.48 | Pike County | Mississippi | 32%
|
| D+6.56 | R+0.27 | Oktibbeha County | Mississippi | 29%
|
| D+5.63 | R+2.57 | Prince Edward County | Virginia | 29%
|
| D+4.42 | R+0.93 | St. James Parish | Louisiana | 29%
|
| D+1.71 | R+6.06 | Copiah County | Mississippi | 26%
|
| D+8.5 | R+TBA | Dillingham Census Area | Alaska | 26%
|
| D+3.71 | R+0.73 | Iberville Parish | Louisiana | 26%
|
| D+3.11 | R+7.27 | Marshall County | Mississippi | 26%
|
| D+1.3 | R+2.2 | Baldwin County | Georgia | 24%
|
| D+19.25 | R+TBA | Lake and Peninsula Borough | Alaska | 24%
|
| D+8.92 | R+TBA | Prince of Wales–Hyder Census Area | Alaska | 24%
|