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2004 Election Polling Biggest Misses
Can you name the states where the polls missed the final margin by over 5 points?
-Polling source comes from Dave Leip's Atlas. Includes latest 3 polls per state averaged.
DC included, but ME and NE congressional districts omitted. See comment below for additional help.
+ indicates pollsters overestimated Bush's final margin
- indicates pollsters underestimated Bush's final margin
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Last updated: May 28, 2026
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| First submitted | May 28, 2026 |
| Times taken | 1 |
| Average score | 100.0% | Report this quiz | Report |
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1 Comments
Cbud
+1
Level 47
May 28, 2026
If you are confused, the pluses and the red shade indicate the polls were more favorable to the winner (Republican George W Bush) than the actual results. Minuses and the blue shade indicate the polls were more favorable to the loser (Democrat John F Kerry) than the actual results. Hope this clears up any issue!
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