| State | Margin difference from 2016 | % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | −2.16 points | 90%
|
| California | −0.95 points | 80%
|
| Nevada | −0.03 points | 64%
|
| Hawaii | −2.72 points | 61%
|
| Illinois | −0.07 points | 56%
|
| Arkansas | −0.70 points | 54%
|
| Utah | −2.40 points | 53%
|