| State | Swing towards Trump | % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | +9.7 points | 92%
|
| Texas | +8.1 points | 92%
|
| California | +9.0 points | 84%
|
| New York | +11.3 points | 80%
|
| New Jersey | +10 points | 76%
|
| Massachusetts | +8.3 points | 60%
|
| Hawaii | +6.4 points | 56%
|
| Rhode Island | +7.0 points | 48%
|
| Mississippi | +6.4 points | 40%
|
| Tennessee | +6.4 points | 36%
|