| State | Swing towards Trump | % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | +9.7 points | 92%
|
| Texas | +8.1 points | 92%
|
| California | +9.0 points | 85%
|
| New York | +11.3 points | 81%
|
| New Jersey | +10 points | 77%
|
| Massachusetts | +8.3 points | 62%
|
| Hawaii | +6.4 points | 54%
|
| Rhode Island | +7.0 points | 46%
|
| Mississippi | +6.4 points | 38%
|
| Tennessee | +6.4 points | 35%
|