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Top 50 current NBA players based on HOF probability

Can you name the 50 current NBA players with the highest hall of fame probabilities?
Numbers from Basketball Reference on 4/1/23
*Active players = players who have not officially retired*
Minimum 400 games played
Quiz by
bryguy5
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Last updated: April 1, 2023
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First submittedMay 1, 2019
Times taken1,039
Average score58.0%
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Rank
Probability
Answer
1
100.00%
Lebron James
2
100.00%
Kevin Durant
3
100.00%
Chris Paul
4
100.00%
Stephen Curry
5
99.99%
James Harden
6
99.94%
Russell Westbrook
7
98.58%
Anthony Davis
8
98.42%
Carmelo Anthony
9
96.64%
Damian Lillard
10
94.91%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
11
93.63%
Paul George
12
93.45%
Kyrie Irving
13
85.74%
Kyle Lowry
14
77.69%
Kawhi Leonard
15
77.10%
Draymond Green
16
73.95%
Nikola Jokic
17
73.47%
Kevin Love
18
72.98%
Jimmy Butler
19
70.21%
Klay Thompson
20
54.81%
Blake Griffin
21
42.81%
Demar Derozan
22
32.39%
John Wall
23
21.63%
Rudy Gobert
24
15.10%
Kemba Walker
25
12.69%
Andre Iguodala
Rank
Probability
Answer
26
12.23%
Al Horford
27
10.80%
Karl-Anthony Towns
28
10.52%
Derrick Rose
29
6.74%
Jayson Tatum
30
5.57%
Donovan Mitchell
31
3.07%
Domantas Sabonis
32
2.26%
Bradley Beal
33
1.91%
Andre Drummond
34
1.73%
Khris Middleton
35
1.71%
Deandre Jordan
36
1.51%
Demarcus Cousins
37
1.08%
Devin Booker
38
0.87%
Jrue Holiday
39
0.83%
Nikola Vucevic
40
0.69%
Mike Conley
41
0.67%
Pascal Siakam
42
0.48%
Udonis Haslem
43
0.48%
Victor Oladipo
44
0.44%
Julius Randle
45
0.42%
Goran Dragic
46
0.37%
Danny Green
47
0.30%
Brook Lopez
48
0.30%
Fred VanVleet
49
0.27%
Bam Adebayo
50
0.27%
Gordon Hayward
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3 Comments
+1
Level 45
Jan 14, 2021
i'm not sure how these %s were calculated, but I'd bet any amount that Giannis will be in the hall someday, and that John Wall will not.
+1
Level 35
Jan 14, 2021
There is an instruction on Basketball Reference on how they calculate it.

Between Wall en Giannis it's right now based on their careers so far. So with Wall having been in the league longer he's totaled more assists and mins + 1 more All-star selection. Giannis will pass him quickly in this ranking I'm guessing.

+1
Level 35
Jan 14, 2021
Isaiah Thomas and Joakim Noah aren't on a 2020/21 roster.