Azerifactory's 2026 Predictions

Last year's correct predictions:

91% — India surpasses Japan to becomes the fourth-largest economy in the world

88% — Keir Starmer still Prime Minister of the UK

So here's my 2026 predictions:

90% — Carlos Alcaraz wins at least one Grand Slam tennis event

82% — Norway tops the 2026 Winter Olympics medal table

75% — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan still president of Turkey

70% — U.S. attacks Venezuela militarily

69% — WhatsApp banned in Russia

66% — AI regulations adopted in U.S.

65% — Lionel Messi announces retirement from football

62% — AI-generated music enters Billboard Top 10

58% — Russia attacks the Baltic states militarily

57% — At least one G7 economy enters a technical recession

52% — UK snap election or government collapse

51% — Timothée Chalamet wins an Oscar

50% — England wins 2026 FIFA World Cup

48% — Global book sales spike for climate fiction novels.

47% — China invades Taiwan mainland

39% — A non-English film wins Best Picture at the Oscars

38% — A new nuclear-arms treaty framework replaces or extends New START

35% — London launches limited autonomous taxi service

34% — Oil drops below $50 per barrel at any point in 2026

33% — Human organ grown fully in lab for transplant

30% — Major protests erupt in Russia due to economic decline

28% — Bitcoin surpasses $100,000

27% — The UEFA Champions League sees an unexpected semifinalist (non-top 5 league)

26% — TikTok banned in the EU

23% — Los Angeles Lakers become NBA champions

22% — Charles Leclerc wins the F1 championship

21% — NASA’s Artemis program successfully lands the first woman on the Moon

20% — Scotland qualifies for the 2026 FIFA World Cup

19% — China's economy will overtake the US for the first time

11% — Germany legalizes euthanasia

8% — Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI