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Countries Gaining the Most Population by 2070

Guess the countries that are projected to gain the greatest number of residents by the year 2070.
Based on UN estimates. More info here.
Current population as of 1 January 2025
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Quiz by Quizmaster
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Featured Quiz
Last updated: January 14, 2025
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First submittedDecember 14, 2017
Times taken50,051
Average score75.0%
Rating4.55
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#
%
Country
233 m
16%
India
201 m
181%
D. R. Congo
197 m
84%
Nigeria
196 m
78%
Pakistan
159 m
118%
Ethiopia
114 m
164%
Tanzania
68.0 m
58%
Egypt
#
%
Country
67.9 m
176%
Angola
59.5 m
138%
Afghanistan
59.4 m
117%
Sudan
56.3 m
111%
Uganda
51.5 m
29%
Bangladesh
50.2 m
122%
Yemen
50.0 m
14%
United States
#
%
Country
49.0 m
139%
Mozambique
44.3 m
161%
Niger
43.3 m
134%
Ivory Coast
41.1 m
88%
Iraq
40.6 m
71%
Kenya
38.5 m
131%
Cameroon
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104 Recent Comments
gzx5
+8
Level 73
Jan 12, 2018
A lot of us like to act like another world war wouldn't happen again but I'm pretty sure there will be another one before 2070 and if that takes place, these numbers will be off by a longshot.
IceIceIceIceIce
+15
Level 48
Jan 12, 2018
For the Earth's sake I hope you're wrong.
DaveM
+5
Level 75
Jan 12, 2018
The people of Earth or Earth itself?
rphxx
+12
Level 71
Jan 12, 2018
Most likely both ^^
Sifhraven
+3
Level 73
Mar 16, 2020
That seems like a contradiction..
VelikyNovgorod4
+4
Level 43
Oct 23, 2018
No doubt but I think ww3 will be fought by different powers then what we think because China by 2070 will probably be dealing with it's own internal issues due to having communism so long. Russia by 2070 will probably still be the country that thinks of itself as a grizzly bear still but is actually just an old tired lion. Western Europe is going to end up losing a lot of power weather we believe it or not due to them not even being able to replace their population outside of migration and the fact that they have a lot of debt due to their socialist systems. The only nation I see being definite would be the US as long as we don't all kill each other with all this bickering. Also i'm not saying that all these countries wouldn't participate I just don't think they would play as big a role as we think due to their own issues that they will face sooner or later. Where ww3 will start or when? Idk, hell it could start any day and where I think it would start in the current day is Ukraine.
driehoek25
+1
Level 68
Apr 24, 2020
As of the situation now, including Kim Jung Un's illness but also the economic troubles that will probably come because of Covid-19 lockdown. I think there will be a WW3 somewhere in the coming 5 to 10 years. If Kim dies this year it can already happen within in 5 years and this WW will start on the Korean peninsula. It could also be triggered by China if China decides to attack Taiwan in wich response America will defend Taiwan since the US has guarenteed Taiwan independence like the UK did with Poland in 1939.
Alexquiz17
+1
Level 93
Jan 14, 2025
That worked out well for Poland didn’t it?
gzx5
+1
Level 73
Apr 24, 2020
Some good arguments there. About the migrant issue though, Germany already had over 80 million people before Merkel let in over 1 million migrants in a single year several years ago; they were already overpopulated prior to that. Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Ireland, and a few others are drowning in debt but several others in Europe in addition to Germany are not.
rustwat
+5
Level 63
Apr 26, 2020
You should take a look at the amount of debt the US has.
WT2008
+4
Level 77
Nov 7, 2022
A pretty good crystal ball you had back in 2018!
AntiMatter8192
+3
Level 75
Dec 25, 2022
This aged very well, especially the last part
Alexquiz17
+4
Level 93
Jan 14, 2025
How exactly does socialism lead to debt? Have you seen the size of the debt owed by the extreme capitalists in the USA?

Also, this comment demonstrates how Russians were being primed for war many years ago, the propaganda was doing its job even in 2018 to soften resistance to the inevitable clash which Vlad was planning all along.

1samdaman
+1
Level 46
Dec 22, 2022
mutually assured destruction disagrees
CaptainUnderpant
+1
Level 81
Aug 31, 2023
That's what I was thinking, not sure WW3 would be anything besides a nuclear holocaust, and there are only a handful of countries with nukes right now, most of them major powers
Wistful
+1
Level 72
Oct 5, 2023
With the Nigerien crisis, there's certainly a chance of a war in Africa. On a positive note, the "Alliance of Sahel States" has a fun acronym.
WolfCam
+6
Level 67
Jan 12, 2018
(Singing) Guessing all the countries in Africa, Africa. Why are there so many in Af-Ri-Caaaa!
RedSoloZach
+3
Level 14
Jan 12, 2018
The reason there are so many African countries with the biggest population booms is because nobody there can afford contraception methods.
teodorbk
+28
Level 41
Jan 14, 2018
That is not strictly true, is it? It is way more complicated
DasCreamy109
+19
Level 47
Jan 19, 2018
That's probably about three and a half percent of the total answer right there.
Neodymium
+1
Level 63
Mar 5, 2024
WOW so educated hmm

nah the real reason is they're not as developed, when education and urbanization and move away from farming happens, people have less kids (especially cuz more will live to reproductive age)

djeedubbeljoe
+3
Level 67
Jan 12, 2018
What's the US doing between all these developing countries?
kenpo17
+7
Level 66
Jan 12, 2018
Assuming more immigration?
Quizmaster
+11
Level ∞
Jan 12, 2018
Yes, it's immigration.
kalbahamut
+3
Level 81
Jan 14, 2018
Current population growth projections, if you remove immigration from the equation, have the United States' total population peaking in 2040 at around 342 million and then slowly declining after that.
IrredeemableHickspanic
+7
Level 29
Jan 12, 2018
Holy crap! Tanzania, Niger and Uganda are done for. Especially Uganda.
marcopolo1
+14
Level 48
Jan 13, 2018
It might sound cynical but..a population growth should only occur if the territory can substain it.. 103 million people more in Niger? They are already starving...
VelikyNovgorod4
+3
Level 43
Oct 23, 2018
It'll happen weather you can sustain it or not. The only way I see you controlling your population so you don't end up destroying your own countries is China's one child policy.
TheOrca
+5
Level 50
Nov 8, 2022
No, there have been many mass famines in history that resulted in massive population decline (many starved and many more left)
kalbahamut
+4
Level 81
Dec 22, 2022
Veliky: never heard of birth control before?

Also... it seems like the most effective way to lower birth rates that the world has seen is to raise standards of living... through education, medicine, general prosperity, et cetera. Historically, extremely high death and infant mortality rates kept population levels relatively low/constant. With the industrial and agricultural revolutions and modern medicine, death and infant mortality rates plummeted, but birth rates were still high, so population figures began to skyrocket. But almost everywhere that this has happened... eventually the birth rate starts to fall, as well, and after several generations is often below replacement levels. It takes a while for the culture to change, though, when coming out of a place where you had to have a ton of kids to work the farm or for any of them to survive to adulthood.

Alexquiz17
+1
Level 93
Jan 14, 2025
Which led ultimately to the demographic crisis they are facing right now. It may have been effective, or even necessary, but an ageing population, falling at the same time is a disaster. Short-sightedness from our Chinese friends…
Neodymium
+1
Level 63
Apr 16, 2024
"A pOpuLaTiOn GrOwTh ShOuLd OnLy OcCur In A SuStainable territory!!!"

This same type of population growth has happened in Europe already. This happens when death rates fall. So if you in your infinite wisdom think Niger is "unfit", you have two options. Decrease the birth rate through education, which is already happening, or increase the death rate and decrease modern medicine. Which one should we do, your liege? After all, they are starving, even though the Green Revolution can be implemented there, and theres a reason massive famines happened BEFORE this demographic transition than after.

SgtMac
+1
Level 55
Jan 14, 2018
With the exception of the US, countries that can ill afford to have population booms considering the scarcity of food; unstable governments; epidemic poverty and diseases...makes Trump's insult of a few days ago sound downright prescient.
kalbahamut
+17
Level 81
Jan 14, 2018
No sound Trump has ever uttered deserves to be described with an adjective with "scio" as a root.
Alexquiz17
+1
Level 93
Jan 14, 2025
+1
relessness
+8
Level 46
Jan 14, 2018
Over the next 50 years, the World's population growth, on average, is due to come almost entirely from everyone getting older. As a species, our fertility rate is now basically at the replacement level. India, despite being the top of this quiz, already is having fewer babies born each year. However much of Asia and West have below replacement level fertility rates, which means that Africa is still way above. What's most shocking about Africa is that even in 2070, most of these countries will still have a population pyramid that still looks like a pyramid (the number of babies born increasing every year), and not barrel shaped like the rest of the world
RLJ
+5
Level 74
Jan 15, 2018
Rest In Piece, Uganda
Pharley
+3
Level 75
Apr 24, 2020
Rest in PEACE
ander217
+3
Level 75
Apr 24, 2020
Pieces.
Neodymium
+2
Level 63
May 5, 2024
it'l be fine, this same system of growht happened in europe and asia already
Findlay
+6
Level 81
Apr 2, 2018
Whilst these numbers are pretty shocking, even Uganda - which will narrowly beat out Nigeria on population density in 2070 - will have 633/sq km compared to Bangladesh which today has 1,141/sq km (and will in 2070 have 1,384/sq km according to the UN). Only Nigeria and Uganda will have a population density greater than South Korea has today and none will reach Taiwan's current density. Of course these are exceedingly poor countries currently, but that was also the case for much of East Asia in the mid-20th century. Bangladesh is currently very poor (its PPP per capita is a third lower than Nigeria's). Not that things are exactly peachy in Bangladesh, but my point is these figures do not indicate Africa going into uncharted territory. Certainly this level of population density is not prohibitive in and of itself to prosperity - Taiwan, Japan, South Korea and the Netherlands are all in the same range.
Findlay
+4
Level 81
Apr 2, 2018
Also, the Ivory Coast having 72,000,000 was pretty shocking to me, but looking into past population statistics, it pretty closely mirrors Thailand's growth from the late 1950s to today. Thailand is slightly larger than the Ivory Coast, but they're in the same ballpark, size-wise.
JWatson24
+4
Level 71
Apr 10, 2021
First of all, where are you getting that Bangladesh has a PPP per capita a third lower than Nigeria? Wikipedia shows that Bangladesh and Nigeria are about the same (and in fact in PPP, Bangladesh is slightly ahead).

Second of all, while Bangladesh is indeed very poor today, it also has historically always had a very large population. And that's not surprising: Bangladesh has the largest % of arable land in the world. My point is that Bangladesh is able to produce enough food to feed a LOT of people, which is one of the reasons why, despite its poverty, it is not currently a giant humanitarian crisis. On the other hand, look at the DRC or Niger: they may be way bigger than Bangladesh, but have waaaay less capacity to produce food. 100 million people in Niger scares me a lot more than 200 million in Bangladesh.

GeoGuy8
+2
Level 66
Aug 12, 2018
When you think You got Nigeria and thinking you did Nigeriaia so had an outcome of ia...
DaisyGeekyTGirl
+2
Level 51
Dec 30, 2018
Those countries have too many people, while my large nation (Australia) has virtually no one in terms of population density.
Alexquiz17
+1
Level 93
Jan 14, 2025
So why are you so unwelcome to immigrants?
mf3
+4
Level 89
Mar 15, 2020
I don't think I've ever seen Pakistan as a quiz answer where Bangladesh wasn't an answer to that same quiz. Why is Bangladesh slowing down reproduction all of a sudden? Normally they mirror Pakistan, only a bit smaller.
fraudianTheory
+6
Level 56
Apr 24, 2020
The government have taken measures to introduce safe sex and family planning measures
JWatson24
+2
Level 71
Dec 15, 2020
^Since independence, Bangladesh has run pretty successful family planning programs, with the result of the fertility rate dramatically decreasing to the point where it's hit the replacement rate.
Gaicoye
+1
Level 36
Dec 7, 2023
Because Bangladesh is prospering a lot faster than Pakistan is, they know the risks.
Jacktheguy
+1
Level 91
Apr 24, 2020
Pretty much exactly what I expected. Mostly African countries, with some Asian ones and the United States.
Deadpool246
+3
Level 69
Apr 24, 2020
To quote the late great Christopher Hitchens: "The only cure to poverty is the empowerment of women". Quality of life in these countries would go through the roof if they stopped reducing women to beasts of burden and made birth control readily available.
Trombone
+1
Level 60
Sep 20, 2021
They don't necessarily have the resources to have contraception. And, it's not like that is a top priority. This population boom isn't weird, it is just large.
ZIZI
+1
Level 61
Apr 24, 2020
Angola's percentage increase though!?
ZIZI
+1
Level 61
Apr 24, 2020
Wait Niger. But they have plenty of space. Feels bad for Uganda
TimeToTimee
+1
Level 28
Apr 24, 2020
Those muslim countries are about to get powerful
kalbahamut
+8
Level 81
Apr 24, 2020
Most of these countries are not Muslim majority. Also, while Egypt's population today is 5x what it was in 1950, they are arguably less powerful and influential than they were in 1950.
TheOrca
+1
Level 50
Nov 8, 2022
There are a lot of Muslim countries on this list, but population growth ≠ power.
gzx5
+2
Level 73
Apr 24, 2020
We'll see what Covid-19 does to their populations.
Sibawayh
+6
Level 46
Apr 24, 2020
Someone please introduce condoms to Africa.
WillemLAif
+1
Level 76
Nov 21, 2022
More like proper education for all and women's empowerment, but yeah... also condoms.
Neodymium
+1
Level 63
Apr 17, 2024
Ahh the easy answer rather than education and urbanization and manufacturing which is what should actually happen
Gotterdammerung
+1
Level 49
Apr 24, 2020
I'm surprised that Bangladesh isn't here but Pakistan and India are. I want to say that this is due to overpopulation/emigration but as some people have already pointed out countries like Niger will also be incredibly overpopulated.
Idontknowok
+2
Level 49
Apr 24, 2020
Bangladesh has a smaller growth rate than India and Pakistan, and they also have fewer people than either of these countries.
CaoMaru
+4
Level 50
Apr 25, 2020
Many people seem to be forgetting that this population growth may not actually happen. It is something that is predicted based on current levels of growth, but anything could change these growth levels at any time.
JackintheBox
+1
Level 80
Apr 25, 2020
Interesting to see the United States here but not China.
Neodymium
+2
Level 63
May 5, 2024
china's peaked in population
IssaIsmail
+1
Level 27
Apr 25, 2020
This is not so bad. Thought it would be much higher.

Also, considering the economic booms waiting, I think the real numbers are way lower.

Overpopulation is a big joke anyways. Just increase the living conditions for these people, and they will get less children automatically.

CaptainUnderpant
+1
Level 81
Aug 31, 2023
Right, because the monumental task of increasing standards of living for exponentially increasing numbers of people is a big joke. Remember also we live on a planet full of mostly finite resources and as of now are doing very little on the whole to mitigate any climate change effects or reduce emissions/resource extraction/consumption
BBryant
+3
Level 70
Apr 26, 2020
With the countries of Africa being as irresponsible as they are, this can only mean more problems for Europe and the death of western civilisation. WWIII will be the end of the white man by their own admission - not a single shot will be fired by anyone. Well, it's that or a Chinese-instigated cyber-war within the next decade. Hype.
Hezzer619
+16
Level 54
May 29, 2021
Are you alright?
KevinTheCat
+6
Level 68
Apr 23, 2022
i had to reread that 0_o
Danem20
+6
Level 85
Nov 5, 2022
Imagine being this concerned over who gets laid.
Neodymium
+1
Level 63
Mar 2, 2024
bro is actually raging that the rest of the world is developing and they dont stay poor and they go through the same process europe has
NV1
+1
Level 53
Jun 19, 2020
Mali and Burkina Faso just missed the list.
Daewedh
+6
Level 67
Nov 7, 2020
Most of this can be tied to one thing...the rights and education of women. If any of these countries want to rise out of poverty and stabilize their populations, you have to stop treating women like chattel. The only proven method to work.
JWatson24
+4
Level 71
Sep 16, 2021
@Daewedh, you're spot on. I know I always keep coming back to the example of Bangladesh (my family is from there so I feel a strong personal connection to the country), but it's a perfect example of what you're talking about. Despite the fact that it's poor, it's doing quite well for itself, and much of its progress stems directly from giving women access to education, jobs, and leadership positions. I highly recommend this NYT article to anyone who's interested.
1ProximaCentauri
+1
Level 54
Nov 13, 2020
The thing about Niger is most of the rev population will be in Niamey and its suburbs, expect the desert to still be desert
LuigiDood227
+2
Level 70
Mar 25, 2021
I know that Uganda is gonna explode, but isn't there still talk about an "East African Federation" that includes Uganda and several other countries?
Constantinos
+1
Level 73
Nov 6, 2022
A talk as you said. Nothing has changed in practice.
ItzIngenious
+2
Level 66
Jun 9, 2021
Is Europe going to blow up or something?
bibohbi
+3
Level 60
Aug 31, 2021
somethin' like that
CaptainUnderpant
+3
Level 81
Aug 31, 2023
No it's this weird thing where old people die
Neodymium
+1
Level 63
May 5, 2024
radical!
Kenneth3748
+1
Level 53
Feb 16, 2022
yeah india will totally lose more than 1 billion people by then, when right now they're still growing and projected to be at 1.3 billion around 2100
Kenneth3748
+1
Level 53
Feb 16, 2022
and the united states aint going to 70 million theyre still growing and would be at around 450 million
KevinTheCat
+13
Level 68
Apr 23, 2022
that's the population increase, not the total.
mf3
+1
Level 89
Nov 8, 2022
A bit surprised not to see Brazil on this list. They start with a sizable population base, and they don't have the reputation of being notably reproductively abstemious.
Thrasymachos
+1
Level 37
Mar 22, 2023
I'm not.

Brazil obviously has a rather large population base indeed (being the second-most populated country in the Americas and such), but you're completely wrong about the fertility rates.

With a total fertility rate of 1.73 (way below replacement) in 2021 and slightly negative migration rate, it's no surprise really that the population isn't growing that much any more.

nojik
+2
Level 67
Dec 22, 2022
the west is fallen
CaptainUnderpant
+4
Level 81
Aug 31, 2023
is it?
tshalla
+2
Level 77
Dec 22, 2022
I was going to say "cue the Malthusians," but they've clearly already been cued.
Neodymium
+1
Level 63
Mar 5, 2024
ikr!
Lomeo
+2
Level 50
Dec 22, 2022
Quite worrisome seeing all these explosions in population of African countries.
kalbahamut
+3
Level 81
Dec 23, 2022
While those who dismiss outright any concerns people have about overpopulation I think are misguided, it's also worth pointing out that these projections are almost certainly wrong, too. They are based on assumptions about future rates of population growth which have historically been hard to predict. As populations and standards of living both increase in Africa it's likely that their high birth rates will fall, as well. Some future demography models try to take this into account but many do not, and those that do might very well be underestimating the rate and degree of change.

But it's hard to say. Nobody can actually see the future.

Neodymium
+1
Level 63
May 5, 2024
replace African with European and you get Thomas Malthus. But nobody still says Europe is growing to fast.
rabble
+2
Level 68
Jul 15, 2024
Why would anyone think domestic Europeans reproducing would be bad?

They're less than 10% of the global population, and have shown a successful ability to provide and govern for themselves (not to mention advancing the human civilization more than most other continents, and maintaining peaceful + successful societies). If they were having 5 children/woman, then demanding food to feed them, complaining that their standards of living were too low, and invading more-developed countries to leach off their domestic resources ... people would say they were growing too fast

How many of the countries on this list have advanced to an agrarian society? How many expect the solution to their domestic problems to come from outside themselves? Look at the fragile states index, food welfare, and emigration rates. You can't support pressuring the most advanced cultures on the planet like this, it's an unsustainable series of events.

Neodymium
+1
Level 63
Jan 14, 2025
This is just racist, eugenicist and ethnocentric (you claim other cultures are unable to govern, and European populations are better to grow). My point was Europe was in the same demographic state of Africa today and these same alarms were raised but none of the catastrophe scenarios occurred in Europe, and therefore these alarmists today are wrong. Also every single country in the world and on this list is an agrarian society at least
Tramp
+2
Level 78
Jan 14, 2025
The world has already experienced unbelievable amounts of environmental destruction since Malthus was around, and with more and more people, the rate is only increasing. We might be able to support many more people if we keep turning every last scrap of wild land into farmland (let's be honest, most countries don't even have ANY real wilderness left anymore), but do we really NEED more people?
Alexquiz17
+1
Level 93
Jan 14, 2025
Hmmm…

So much wrong with this comment I don’t know where to start. Can I suggest some further reading? Try the book Guns Germs and Steel by a chap called Jared Diamond.

I guarantee that you will be enlightened

Neodymium
+2
Level 63
Mar 5, 2024
Dw yall food production is growin faster than population right now, and population growth 'round the world is slowin'

I expect this next wave of demographic transition to be even faster than last time, so even smaller population than what's seen

All european countries have gone thru this process btw and tfr wont stay high forever (education + urbanizåtion is key!)

SpartanLlama
+1
Level 74
Jan 14, 2025
Just missed Ivory Coast
NielsDeNoob2
+1
Level 73
Jan 15, 2025
So Yemen is already a starvation zone, but meh who cares, let's just grow 50 mil.
waelwoelf
+1
Level 47
Apr 2, 2025
lots of "magic soil" cope in these comments lol
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