There is at least some evidence of both of them existing.
but it's fair to say none of them founded a new religion even if they were real. Judaism, Christianity, and Islam all took shape over the course of years coming out of the religious traditions that preceded them and shaped by many different people. Paul probably is the one person who deserves the most credit for founding Christianity. He wrote many of the books of the New Testament and was the one who started preaching to and converting the gentiles. Before Paul, Christianity was not a new religion it was a Jewish apocalypse/messiah cult and there were many just like it.
Muhammad also saw himself as a prophet following in the already established religious traditions that preceded him. The figure in Islamic history that most closely resembles Paul is probably Abu Bakr, who had the Quran written down.
Judaism's real origins have been lost to antiquity.
Of course, in the real world, we know that Joseph Smith wrote the Book of Mormon and there never were any golden plates nor any Nephites. Just like we know that Abu Bakr had the Quran written down, and that Paul wrote somewhere between one third and one half of the New Testament.
Thought for the day.
It isn't hard to do
Nothing to kill or die for
And no religion, too
Imagine all the people
Livin' life in peace
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