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2022 Competitive Senate Elections

While certain elections are a lock for one party or another, some elections are not. With the first letter of the state, and the ratings of the race, can you name these competitive states in 2022?
This quiz will be updated on the 1st and 15th of every month, if ratings change.
"Competitive" in this quiz means that at least one group considers the race not "Solid" for one party.
Quiz by adillman23
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Last updated: May 18, 2021
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First submittedMay 18, 2021
Times taken458
Average score90.0%
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Cook
Inside Elections
Sabato
First Letter
Answer
Lean Democrat
Battleground
Lean Democrat
A
Arizona
Likely Republican
Battleground
Likely Republican
F
Florida
Lean Democrat
Battleground
Lean Democrat
G
Georgia
Solid Republican
Solid Republican
Likely Republican
M
Missouri
Likely Democrat
Battleground
Lean Democrat
N
Nevada
Likely Democrat
Battleground
Lean Democrat
N
New Hampshire
Tossup
Battleground
Lean Republican
N
North Carolina
Lean Republican
Solid Republican
Likely Republican
O
Ohio
Tossup
Battleground
Tossup
P
Pennsylvania
Lean Republican
Battleground
Lean Republican
W
Wisconsin
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13 Comments
NV1
+2
Level 51
May 18, 2021
Predictions from The JetPunker Daily:

Arizona: Likely D

Florida: Likely R

Georgia: Lean D

Missouri: Solid R

Nevada: Solid D

New Hampshire: Solid D

North Carolina: Battleground

Ohio: Likely R

Pennsylvania: Likely D

Wisconsin: Lean D

adillman23
+2
Level 53
May 18, 2021
I gotta agree on all of that, save for if Governor Sununu runs.
JWatson24
+2
Level 71
Jul 2, 2021
Don't know about all the other states, but Pennsylvania is going to be interesting for sure. Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is known for his outsized personality and is something of a wildcard (if you haven't heard of him, look him up!). Don't know if he'll win the election, but I predict he'll be the Democratic nominee. It'll definitely be fun to watch!
SouthwestChief
+3
Level 72
Jul 3, 2021
My personal predictions:

Arizona: Tilt R for Masters, Tossup for anyone else

Florida: Likely R

Georgia: Lean R (assuming Walker runs, which seems to be the case)

Missouri: Safe R (even w/ Greitens)

Nevada: Tossup (the state swung right in 2020)

New Hampshire: Tossup (assuming Sununu)

North Carolina: Likely R (highly inelastic in a R favorable midterm)

Ohio: Safe R for Vance, Likely R for Mandel, Tossup for Timken

Pennsylvania: Tossup

Wisconsin: Lean R

TheodoreE45
+2
Level 93
Sep 30, 2021
This is the correct view. Anyone who thinks Nevada is as solid blue as Missouri is red is kidding themselves.
NV1
+1
Level 51
Jul 5, 2022
Revised - - - -

Arizona - Tossup

Florida - Safe R

Georgia - Tilt R

Missouri - Safe R

Nevada - Tilt R

New Hampshire - Tilt D

North Carolina - Likely R

Ohio - Safe R

Pennsylvania - Tilt D

Wisconsin - Likely R

shinwasha
+4
Level 28
Jul 2, 2021
I think GA could easily go Republican again since Trump isn't on the ticket.

Same with Wisconsin.

Florida is going to be solid Republican with DeSantis on the ticket. He is very popular in Florida.

adillman23
+2
Level 53
Jul 2, 2021
Of course. Florida is pretty much Rubio's to lose. Same with DeSantis I suppose.

Georgia could flip back, but I think Warnock may have a mildly easier time around.

Wisconsin all depends on if Ron Johnson decides to run or not, as he has not completely made up his mind yet.

TheodoreE45
+2
Level 93
Sep 30, 2021
I think Warnock has his work cut out for him considering Republican turnout in the 2021 special election was way lower than in the general. 2022 is going to be a red year (purely based upon statistics) and if Republicans have the energy factor, they will spare no expense at flipping Georgia.
josiahrandall
+1
Level 44
Jan 3, 2022
The issue is that Georgia tends to move to the left every cycle, even from 2012 to 2014.
adillman23
+1
Level 53
Jan 7, 2022
Absolutely. While it admittedly is still Republican-leaning, it is no longer one that can be considered a "lock" for that party.
JFM01
+1
Level 54
Jan 11, 2022
Is Georgia still leaning Democrat?
adillman23
+1
Level 53
Jan 12, 2022
While Georgia has been trending Democratic for many years, it is arguably still a Republican-leaning state. However, this status is more of a "pink" or "light red", rather than the so-called "ruby-red" of ultra-Republican states like Arkansas or West Virginia.

The non-partisan Cook Political Report pegs Georgia as R+3, which puts it with other current swing states like Arizona and North Carolina, and puts it as slightly more Republican than a state like Wisconsin(which is R+2), and slightly more Democratic than a state like Texas (R+5).

I believe I have another quiz that deals with Cook PVI (Partisan Voting Index) somewhere on my profile. Thanks for your question, I hope my answer suffices.

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