I have been paying a lot more attention to population stats since starting to do jetpunk quizzes. Actually Nigeria is not that small a country, approximately one tenth the size of the US, if my eyes don't deceive me, and the USA has a lot more in the way of desert and mountainous regions. Nearly four times the size of the UK. Currently, for all that it has that teeming metropolis Lagos (OK, I've never been there), Nigeria currently has a lower population density than the UK. But that certainly won't be true if Nigeria does double in population again.
Well when you asked about the top five biggest in Oceania, it is always those three. In fact I don't think their placings moved from where they are today.
This is assuming that the East African Federation merger does not occur. If the merger does happen, it will likely be a top-10 if not top-5 population by 2050.
I just looked this up, imagining some thing that was just set up for 2050 or some really far away date and was surprised to see it was set to have a constitution written by 2021 and form in 2023! Countries of the World may go down to 191!
There's a lot that could happen in 30 years. I mean, 30 years ago the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia still existed, Hong Kong still belonged to the British, and countries like East Timor and Eritrea still weren't independent. Most of these countries will still exist of course, I'm just pointing out that, regardless of whether the EAU happens, there's a good chance the number of countries will be different in 2050.
Your predictions are bogus. India is way past a billion, and isn't going down anytime soon. But the UK. You project it to gain 712 Million. In 31 years.
this shouldn't really be a surprise as most countries where white people are a majority are declining in population. The only thing keeping those populations stable is the influx of immigrants and refugees. Just take a look at Europe. Without immigrants, the continent's population would be stagnant, if not, slowly declining. And considering the fact that Australia and New Zealand were mainly populated by European colonists who were fleeing the destruction of Europe, places like Canada, America, Oceania and South America will soon follow this trend if they aren't already.
Yes, but I would guess the quiz doesn't account for immigration, because this is something that fluctuates, and cannot be accurately predicted in the future. Instead, I suspect the data relies just on population growth in the countries.
NZ is already hitting 5 million this year. It took 16 years for it to go from 4 to 5 million and the immigration rate is now the highest in the OECD, 5 times higher than the US, 3 times higher than the UK, double Australia's. The population projections always take immigration into account, so the source material for this projection is very clearly wrong. Stats NZ actually predicts a population of 7.5 million in 2068 even if immigration falls to half the current rate.
There nothing inherent in white people that is causing them to not have children. Wealthy populations just have less kids. That's it. Those immigrants coming to Australia and NZ will also follow suit and have less kids too.
Overpopulation in third world countries is common, as in previous generations there was a low life expectancy so people had more babies. As life expectancy rises, there is a lowering of the birthrate, but this takes time to show an effect, due to a combination of an increased survival to old age and the gradualness of changes in culture. Once a country gets rich enough that children can easily survive into adulthood, the birthrate can fall below 2. This means that the birthrate falls below the replacement rate (you need two people to make a baby) and the population falls. This is currently happening in most of the western world, and Japan.
This is a terrifying forecast for Bangladesh. The country is already basically a river delta, and is hugely prone to problems of flooding, river migration, extreme rain cycles, and overcrowding. This is coupled with the fact that neighboring countries are not exactly friendly, and in Modi's India increasingly hostile to Bangladeshis.
So while the population of Bangladesh will continue to grow for the next 30 years or so, it will level off and then start to decline. Many countries have seen similar trends thanks to higher standards of living and more empowerment for women.
Got to Oceania and saw the 1 million and thought, 'oh well better start guessing random islands'. First guess was Fiji and second was Solomon Islands lol super lucky I guess
Quite a few of these, I'm pretty suspicious of, particularly Oceania. Australia's population in mid-2021 was 25.7 million and growing steadily - up 2 million on 2016. If these figures are correct it will gain just over 3 million more in the next 29 years. Meanwhile PNG is an underdeveloped country unlikely to hit the demographic ceiling anytime soon and already has 9.3 million this suggests it will gain only 700,000 in the next three decades. NZ is already 5.1 million, though it is slowing. Fiji is at 900,000. Solomons are at 700,000, so that's maybe a little more realistic, but even that one's questionable.
With the way the situation in Venezuela has been unfolding these past 6-8 years and the millions of refugees that have fled the country I see it being quite difficult to for Venezuela to hit its projected population of 40 million people.
It would have to make up a deficit of 12 million people which is currently 40% of its current population of 28 million. Unless the situation changes for the better there I see that being near impossible.
Sure, money is necessary to buy things like food and clothes, but do you only trust your money? What do you do when you don't have any money? You shouldn't trust in your cash to provide for all of your needs. If you can't afford the things you require, don't panic. If you love God, He will provide for you.
"And my God will supply all your needs according to His riches in glory in Christ Jesus."
Money has done a lot more for me than any gods ever have. Which is, of course, nothing. So maybe that's setting the bar low but... hey... it was your silly false dichotomy, not mine.
God has never helped anyone and money itself doesn't help anyone, its there basics needs that they receive from that's important. Money however is much more reliable over something that doesn't exist.
Some of these seem wrong, Im gonna list them and point out the flaws.
Russia- Russia is currently around 144 million in April 2023. I highly doubt a 3/10 people are going to die or migrate by 2050. I could see drastic changes happening like losing 10-15 million resulting in it being 129-134 but an entire 44 million seems wrong.
China- The one child policy screwed them over and even today they still only have a 1.3 fertility rate. It's also hard to tell cause the Chinese government isn't known for honestly ad over projects how well they're doing. Im very unsure but could seem their population going even into the 1.2 billion range. However the wikipedia estimate could be accurate, hard to tell since they have a unique situation.
Venezuela- With a concerning net migration rate and a fertility rate 0.1 above the replacement rate. I don't think they will grow as shown and in fact I could seem them shrinking heavily if they're economic situation doesn't change.
x1,01 is the same as 1% and the 21 just means you do that 21 times
There nothing inherent in white people that is causing them to not have children. Wealthy populations just have less kids. That's it. Those immigrants coming to Australia and NZ will also follow suit and have less kids too.
I certainly wouldn't want to be an African or Asian during those times.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?locations=BD
And in 2100, Nigeria’s population will be 750mil to 1bil
NO-ONE HAS MENTIONED THIS
Twenty years ago, they predicted that Russia's population would be about 120 million by 2020.
It would have to make up a deficit of 12 million people which is currently 40% of its current population of 28 million. Unless the situation changes for the better there I see that being near impossible.
Sure, money is necessary to buy things like food and clothes, but do you only trust your money? What do you do when you don't have any money? You shouldn't trust in your cash to provide for all of your needs. If you can't afford the things you require, don't panic. If you love God, He will provide for you.
"And my God will supply all your needs according to His riches in glory in Christ Jesus."
Philippians 4:19
Russia- Russia is currently around 144 million in April 2023. I highly doubt a 3/10 people are going to die or migrate by 2050. I could see drastic changes happening like losing 10-15 million resulting in it being 129-134 but an entire 44 million seems wrong.
China- The one child policy screwed them over and even today they still only have a 1.3 fertility rate. It's also hard to tell cause the Chinese government isn't known for honestly ad over projects how well they're doing. Im very unsure but could seem their population going even into the 1.2 billion range. However the wikipedia estimate could be accurate, hard to tell since they have a unique situation.
Venezuela- With a concerning net migration rate and a fertility rate 0.1 above the replacement rate. I don't think they will grow as shown and in fact I could seem them shrinking heavily if they're economic situation doesn't change.
Anyways, very ez