The Quizmaster's 2022 Predictions
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First published: Tuesday February 8th, 2022
First published: Tuesday February 8th, 2022
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Welcome to the first annual Official Predictions™ of the JetPunk quizmaster, in which this flawed prognosticator tries to make sense of the world (and his personal life) by guessing what the future will hold.
Because prediction is hard and I'm not good at it, I've included a percent chance that I think the event will happen. This will also help me to grade my predictions at the end of the year. Note: I will be the sole judge of these predictions. So, here they are, in order of likelihood, my 2022 predictions.
99% – World population increases in 2022
97% – My property taxes go up at my current residence
95% – I still live in the Seattle area
94% – Average home price in the U.S. increases during 2022 according to Zillow
93% – Seattle July 2021 estimated population higher than 2020 census
93% – Mark Zuckerburg still CEO of Meta
92% – Vladimir Putin still President of Russia
90% – Kim Jong-un still leader of North Korea
90% – More than 400,000 JetPunk quizzes taken in a single day in 2022
90% – My parents move into in their new house
88% – Joe Biden still President of the U.S.
87% – I still live in my current residence
87% – Elon Musk still CEO of Tesla
85% – More JetPunk quizzes taken in 2022 than 2021
85% – JetPunk releases a new minigame
85% – I still moderate quizzes nearly every day
85% – U.S. trade deficit with China higher in 2022 than 2021
85% – Queen Elizabeth still alive
80% – Chicago July 2021 estimated population lower than 2020 census
80% – U.S. official unemployment below 5%
80% – A superhero movie is the #1 grossing movie for the entire year worldwide
78% – I travel outside the United States
75% – Republicans win the Senate and House
75% – Dr. Fauci still Chief Medical Advisor to the President
75% – At least 10% of people at my local grocery store still wearing masks
70% – Tesla stock declines in 2022
70% – Chicago has more murders in 2022 than 2021
70% – Boris Johnson still Prime Minister of the UK
65% – Novak Djokovic wins at least one Grand Slam tennis event
60% – Jair Bolsonaro re-elected
50% – Mask mandate still in place on U.S. flights
50% – Joe Rogan still on Spotify
50% – U.S. inflation (trailing 12 months) above 5%
50% – At least one Starbucks in Seattle gets unionized
50% – Lewis Hamilton wins the F1 championship
50% – JetPunk releases a new quiz format
50% – I travel to a country I've never been to before
50% – Price of oil (WTI) over $100/barrel
50% – Door Dash stock down at least 80% in 2022
50% – AMD higher market cap than Intel
45% – extremeweatherwatch.com gets more than 5 million page views for the year
45% – WHO designates another Variant of Concern
45% – Donald Trump officially announces he is running for President
40% – Aiden Hutchinson drafted #1 in the NFL draft
40% – Quizmaster releases 100 or more new quizzes
35% – Michigan beats Ohio State in football
35% – Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade
30% – Russia invades Ukrainian territory
30% – Roger Federer retires
30% – Gold over $2000/oz
30% – JetPunk adds another featured language
25% – WHO officially declares the pandemic over
25% – Ron DeSantis announces he is running for President
25% – Seattle still requires vaccine or negative test to go into restaurants
25% – Elon Musk is world's richest person
25% – Eviction moratorium still in place in Seattle
25% – Another country besides El Salvador adopts Bitcoin as an official currency
25% – Average price of gas in the U.S. above $4/gallon
25% – Aidan Hutchinson drafted by the Detroit Lions
25% – Macron reelected as President of France
25% – I make a private real estate investment
25% – New record set for world's heaviest pumpkin
20% – Bitcoin finishes year above $100,000
20% – Indoor mask mandate still in place in Seattle
20% – Gamestop stock price above $100
20% – Lebron James retires from basketball
20% – U.S. enters recession at some point during the year
20% – More than 500,000 quizzes taken in a single day in 2022
20% – Capital added, removed, or name change on "Capitals of the World" quiz
20% – I start a new website which gets at least 100,000 total page views
20% – I climb a blue route at Seattle Bouldering Project
15% – I buy a new car
15% – U.S. inflation (trailing 12 months) above 10%
15% – Golden State Warriors win the NBA championship
15% – At least 10% of people in my neighborhood still wearing masks outdoors
15% – Seattle has at least one day of 100 °F or higher
15% – Joe Rogan interviews Donald Trump
12% – There is a country name change on the "Countries of the World" quiz
10% – U.S. Covid deaths higher in 2022 than 2021
10% – Russia captures Kiev
10% – Chicago declares bankruptcy
10% – Islamist terrorist attack in Europe or North America killing more than 100 people
10% – Death Valley breaks its record of 129.9 °F 54.4 °C
10% – I shoot a hole-in-one in disc golf
8% – China invades Taiwan mainland
8% – Lockdown in a Chinese city for a virus other than Covid
8% – Average price of gas in the U.S. above $5/gallon
8% – Country added or removed from "Countries of the World" quiz
7% – Kamala Harris nominated to Supreme Court
7% – Major sex scandal involving Joe Biden
7% – U.S. suffers 1000 or more military deaths in a new conflict
7% – 9.0 or higher earthquake anywhere on Earth
7% – More than 100 people die in a single hurricane in the US
5% – JetPunk is sold to a new owner
5% – Someone beats Usain Bolt's world record in the 100m dash
2% – Nuclear detonation kills at least 1000 people
0.5% – 9.0 or higher earthquake on the Cascade fault
0.2% – Proof of extra-terrestrial intelligent life discovered
0.1% – Asteroid impact kills more than 1000 people on Earth
0% – Cyprus added to "Countries of Europe" quiz
Make sure to let me know what you think in the comments below!
I also seriously modified my Covid predictions in the last few days. The political tide has really shifted quickly. But now the blog is published and they are set in stone.
One meta-prediction: Some of these will look really dumb by the end of the year.
That last one lol.
By the way, can we make our own personal versions?
But all jokes aside, this is a great idea QM and the predictions were very funny and nice lol :)
A thing will be 100% of chance this year: We’ll continue with “Beware of” thread.
I think it is more likely than not that Boris will be gone by the end of the year as well.
The "travel outside the U.S." is interesting, do you have any plans of where you'd like to go next?
I don't have any plans to travel outside the U.S. but I really hope I get the chance to!
I wonder what the % would be of Liberal (Scott Morrison) winning the Australian election. Probably not very likely.
I'm not saying your predictions are exaggerated or wrong in any way, to do so would be outrageous from my part because I haven't studied pumpkin weights since.... well never. I'm just interested in what prompted this inclusion 🤣
I think I didn't read anything about water problems. Maybe I missed some. Anyway, the famous Bulgarian seer Baba Vanga made some of the predictions:
1. Water scarcity increases
2. Europe sees a war from east (Russia invading Ukraine perhaps?)
3. Asteroid carrying aliens or something like that
4. Another virus found frozen in Siberia
These seem quite horrible predictions!
You can do it in one day if you grind country quizzes using user stats page.
If the hypothetical buyer doesn't agree to that, then the sale is off. Ya' gotta' draw the line somewhere.
This blog is not a political debate, neither a buy of votes, so I’m stopping by here. Just the future will say what we will suffer next lol
maybe I wouldn’t be able to handle with all that together 😝I'm surprised to see DoorDash so high on the list. I worked in a restaurant for a few months last year and on most days I'd guess that 80% of our traffic was through food delivery companies.
Also, maybe I'm pessimistic, but I fully expect another Variant of Concern to be identified this year, and I'll be surprised if much of North America isn't back to masks and vaccine mandates at this time next year. I hope I am wrong on my prediction.
I have to agree on the temperature prediction. Last summer was awful for heat in the Pacific Northwest area, but I doubt we'll see such a major heatwave again in the region at least a decade (even in an aggressive climate change scenario).
In my view, these scandals are somewhat manufactured.
If the party decides he's a liability, they may turn on him like they turned on Cuomo. On the other hand, they may just use his age as an excuse for him to step down. In any case, I think it's quite unlikely, thus the 7% chance.
Thinking you're right though - it's probably too high.
To be clear this is not supposed to be taken as a political comment.
- sixteen days later....
I like how we specified intelligence here, but wouldn't that be hilarious? We discover a bunch of alien dudes in outer space, but they're all dumber than rocks.
(People who take this seriously it's a joke)
Good call.